May 20, 2026 · 18 min read
Learning a Mixture of Heterogeneous Experts for Multi-Horizon Price Movement on Regulated Prediction-Market Trades
A chronological account: binary JumpCNN baselines on minute bars, a pivot to train-thresholded ternary targets, diverse sequence and tabular experts, and a gated mixture motivated by classical MoE theory—with held-out metrics that respect severe class imbalance.